Experts debunk '68:32' issue, no irregularity found – PPCRV (Sabong News)
Author
Dhel Nazario
Date
MAY 11 2022
There has been a popular thing going around social media as soon as the partial and unofficial count of the May 2022 polls was released — the so-called 68:32 ratio.
Due to this, the Parish Pastoral Council for Responsible Voting (PPCRV) invited experts from the Ateneo De Manila University to check on the said issue that’s been bugging voters.
The issue, according to Dr. William Yu of PPCRV, is that there is a transition pattern that votes from one candidate to another candidate always follow a particular pattern after certain different points in time.
Yu said that instead of answering the issue themselves, they invited experts such as statisticians, analytical mathematicians and a few data scientists.
He explained that in the so-called 68:32 ratio, the problem is that no matter what snapshot of time, the ratio between the presidential candidates Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr. and Vice President Leni Robredo always follow a particular ratio.
He added that the claim is that this phenomenon is “too perfect” and that it indicates that the results are “hard-coded” to the machine because it follows the same ratio.
In the analysis done by the experts, Yu stated that they followed a general principle called Law of Large Numbers which, according to him, means that the closer one is to the final answer, in terms of population, the more it reflects the final number.
During a presentation at the University of Santo Tomas on Wednesday night, May 11, he explained the findings of the experts through a heat map,
“So what they did, they basically got votes for candidate Robredo and they got the ratio between candidate Robredo over candidate Robredo and Marcos and that should show the pattern,” he stated.
“And the first step they did, was instead of just looking at it from different points in time, from transmission 1 to transmission 21, if you look at only nationwide, then it will follow roughly the pattern but the moment you break it into regions, the pattern actually breaks,” he added.
Yu said that by just going even one step deeper from the results from national to regional the pattern already breaks. He stated that the experts also did provincial as well as precinct level which further broke the pattern.
“I guess the conclusion is there is no irregularity in the pattern that you see,” PCCRV chair Myla Villanueva said.
She mentioned that they also invited experts from other schools such as the University of the Philippines (UP) to also analyze the said ratio.
Meanwhile, Villanueva also called for 300 more volunteers for Thursday, as more election receipts arrive in UST. So far, they have received 23,420 out of 107,785 precincts.
